Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


Bloomberg News 30th September 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


Bloomberg News 29/09/2009

Monday, September 28, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


Friday, September 25, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


Thursday, September 24, 2009


Bloomberg News 24th September 2009

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



Bloomberg News 22nd September 2009

Friday, September 18, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


  • The pound weakened for a second day against the dollar on renewed concern the financial crisis in Europe will be prolonged, damping demand for the region’s assets.
  • Lloyds Banking Group Plc, the U.K.’s biggest mortgage lender, said for the first time it may exit the government program to insure 260 billion pounds ($424 billion) of its risky assets.
  • European and Asian shares declined and U.S. stock-index futures retreated on speculation that a six-month rally in global equity markets has outpaced the prospects for earnings.
    Lonmin Plc decreased 2.1 percent as metal prices fell. Lloyds Banking Group Plc dropped 1.4 percent after the lender said it’s considering alternatives to a government asset protection program. Super de Boer surged 19 percent after receiving a takeover offer from Jumbo Groep Holding BV.
  • Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and Bats Global Markets’ decision to prohibit flash stock orders was affirmed by the Securities and Exchange Commission, which proposed banning the practice yesterday.
  • Britain posted the biggest budget deficit for any August since modern records began in 1993 as the recession destroyed tax revenue and welfare costs soared.
    The 16.1 billion-pound ($26.3 billion) shortfall compared with a deficit of 9.9 billion pounds a year earlier, the Office for National Statistics said in London today. The median of 16 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey was 17.6 billion pounds.
Bloomberg 18 September 2009

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post




  • Metals, oil surge on improving economy; crops down.


  • Dollar slump spurs global stocks.


  • Natural gas ends up 13 pct despite weather and storage issues.


Reuters 17th September 2009.





  • Venezuela has announced a $16bn (£10bn) investment deal with China for oil exploration in the Orinoco river.


  • European Union leaders meeting later are to urge the threat of "sanctions" for banks that pay excessive bonuses.


  • Shares worldwide have risen strongly after the latest signs of an economic recovery in the US.


BBC Business News 17th September 2009.





  • Both Arsenal and Liverpool both win their first matches in the Champions League Group stages.


  • Team boss Briatore quits Renault over race fixing claims.


  • Andy Murray to lead team GB in their David Cup relegation match against Poland.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009


  • Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, who yesterday said the U.S. recession probably has ended, may have to accept a slow recovery and high unemployment as the price for defending his inflation-fighting credentials.
  • Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said he’s worried that lawmakers will hamper U.S. central bank efforts to rein in its monetary stimulus, and that inflation might “swamp” the bond market.
  • Stocks in Europe and Asia advanced as billionaire investor Warren Buffett said his company is buying equities and higher commodity prices lifted raw-material producers. U.S. futures gained.
    BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s biggest mining company, increased 2.7 percent as copper, lead and nickel climbed on the London Metal Exchange. KBC Group NV surged 5.5 percent after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. advised buying shares of the Belgian bank. Inditex SA gained 2.7 percent after earnings at Europe’s largest clothing retailer beat analysts’ estimates.
  • Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. said Barclays Plc got a $5 billion discount when it bought the North American brokerage business and some real estate days after Lehman’s bankruptcy filing a year ago, and wants assets back.
  • Inditex SA, Europe’s largest clothing retailer, reported a 7.6 percent decline in first-half profit as Spaniards pared spending on fashion in the country’s worst recession for 60 years.

Bloomberg 16 September 2009

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • The U.S. Treasury Department and Citigroup Inc. have begun discussing how to sell the 34 percent stake that the government acquired in the rescue of the bank, people familiar with the matter said.

  • President Barack Obama said job losses are “bottoming out” and the U.S. economy looks to be growing again even as he warned against cutting off government aid “so soon that the recovery doesn’t take flight.”
    Obama, speaking to Bloomberg News one year after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. crippled the economy, voiced confidence that his plan to overhaul regulation to forestall another crisis would pass Congress this year.

  • European stock-index futures rose, indicating the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index may resume its six- month rally, before a report that might show German investor confidence increased to the highest level in three years. Asian shares fluctuated and U.S. futures were little changed a year after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.

  • Europe’s economies are rebounding at different speeds, complicating the European Central Bank’s efforts to put the region back on a more stable footing.
    Even as the global economy recovers and Germany and France return to growth, the European Commission yesterday cut its forecasts for Spain and Italy. Deutsche Bank AG says some of the economies that were once motors of growth and job creation across the 16-nation bloc may stay mired in recession next year.

15 September 2009 www.Bloomberg.com

Monday, September 14, 2009

Natural Gas – the next opportunity?


At Hollingsworth, we are continually striving to find new investment opportunities for our clients and this month, I would like to share with you one such new idea - Natural Gas.
In 2008, the price of natural gas reached a record all time high of $12 as oil also reached an all time high of $147 a barrel during the year. By taking 2006 and 2007 prices as a benchmark, natural gas prices traded at a normal range of between $5-$7 per Thousand Cubic Feet (TCF). By comparison, today's spot price for natural gas is only $2.70 (TCF) at time of writing.

(Source: NYMEX)


Fact 1 : Suppliers have a minimum production cost for natural gas of $4 (TCF) to breakeven.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) which gathers the official energy statistics for the USA has stated that due to the low price of natural gas, working natural gas drilling rigs have declined by 58% since September 2008. That means that half of all production of natural gas has been stopped in the USA. As a consequence of this lower drilling, the EIA has stated that US imports of liquefied natural gas during 2009 will increase to about 500 Billion Cubic Feet from importation of 352 Billion Cubic Feet in 2008 and imports are expected to rise to 740 Billion Cubic Feet during 2010 to make up the shortfall. Therefore, US imports of natural gas from 2008 should more than double by next year.
The EIA has also stated that it expects natural gas prices to average $5.48 (TCF) during 2010 because of the current decline in drilling activity.

(Source: The Energy Information Administration - US Government)

Fact 2: Industries are securing natural gas supplies at much higher prices over the next two years.
From December 2009 to September 2011, natural gas delivery prices vary from a minimum of $5.04 (TCF) to a maximum of $6.95 (TCF). The USA's largest natural gas provider, Chesapeake Energy and another major USA natural gas producer Quicksilver Resources have both stated that prices are below their costs to produce and supply natural gas and confirm that this is unsustainable.
(Source: Clifford Krauss, The New York Times 20th August 2009).

The present natural gas spot price of $2.70 (TCF) clearly will not be weak for long and should appreciate as we head into the winter season when consumption of natural gas accelerates due to heating demand by households.

Fact 3 : Oil and Gas Prices Disconnect
Six Thousand Cubic Feet have roughly the same energy content of one barrel of oil. Therefore, if the fuels were perfect substitutes, oil prices would tend to be about six times natural gas prices. The historical norm shows that oil has usually traded between 5 and 12 times the price of natural gas. The historical average is actually 8 times. Presently oil is at $71 a barrel and natural gas at $2.70 (TCF). Therefore today the ratio is 26 to 1. This gap will eventually narrow through a combination of oil prices falling and natural gas prices rising. (Source: Donald Marron, Wallstreet Pit Global market Insight 21st August 2009).
Our research I believe shows that Natural Gas should be considered as part of a diversified portfolio. For further information as to how you invest in this and other commodities, please contact us for a no-obligation meeting.

Mark Hollingsworth, Director, Hollingsworth International Financial Services Ltd
Tel Cyprus: +357 99066840,
Tel Malta: +356 21316298 / +35699842614
e-mail: info@hollingsworth-int.com
Website: http://www.hollingsworth.eu.com/
Authorised by the Malta Financial Services Authority to provide investment services, license IS/32457

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • China announced dumping and subsidy probes of chicken and auto products from the U.S., two days after President Barack Obama imposed tariffs on tires from the Asian nation.

  • President Barack Obama's decision to place tariffs on tires from China may be the opening move in a campaign for fewer trade barriers, based on the strategy used by his four predecessors.

  • Asian stocks fell, dragging the MSCI Asia Pacific Index from a one-year high, amid concern a six-month rally had overvalued prospects for an earnings recovery in the region.

  • European and U.S. stock-index futures dropped and Asian shares declined on speculation the six-month rally in equities has outpaced the prospects for earnings and economic growth.

  • President Barack Obama, speaking a year after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s collapse, heads to Wall Street today to outline his plan for unwinding government involvement in the financial sector and to argue that new regime of rules to prevent a market crisis is needed more than ever.

September 14

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


  • John Mack, who struggled to return Morgan Stanley to profitability after surviving the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, will turn over his chief executive officer title to Co-President James Gorman.
  • China’s industrial production rose at a faster pace than forecast in August and new lending unexpectedly climbed, indicating growth in the world’s third- biggest economy is likely to accelerate.
  • Istithmar World, the Dubai sovereign wealth fund, is halting investments as part of a restructuring effort after spending more than $25 billion this decade on stakes ranging from a yacht marina to luxury retailer Barneys New York, according to people familiar with the plan.
  • Japan’s economy unexpectedly grew less than initially estimated in the second quarter as companies cut spending and stockpiles fell.
  • The U.S. Treasury Department’s auctions this week of $70 billion in notes and bonds shows the unprecedented amount of debt being sold to finance the record budget deficit is failing to curb investor demand.
  • Suntory Holdings Ltd. is in talks to buy European drinkmaker Orangina, which may be sold for 750 million euros ($1.1 billion) more than owners Blackstone Group LP and Lion Capital LLP. paid three years ago.

Bloomberg 11 September 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post


President Barack Obama, attempting to reignite his campaign to overhaul the U.S. health-care system, exhorted Congress to end its “bickering” and pass legislation, calling the status quo unacceptable.


Asian stocks climbed, sending the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to a one-year high, as profit from China Yurun Food Group and a higher forecast from Texas Instruments Inc. fueled confidence the global economy is recovering.


Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. left his suite at Manhattan’s Waldorf-Astoria Hotel last Sept. 15 after a sleepless night, feeling he’d done all he could to minimize the damage from that morning’s collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., aides said.


Google Inc. founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page conquered the U.S. Internet industry by forming a triumvirate with Chief Executive Officer Eric Schmidt. Sharing power may not work in the world’s biggest market: China.

September 9th (Bloomberg)

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Mike Bongiorno dies


Well known Italian television presenter and quiz master Mike Bongiorno has died aged 85.
Born in New York to an Italian mother and an Italian-American father, Bongiorno moved to Italy when still a child and became an institution in the Italian broadcasting scene.
He was one of the first high profile presenters to defect from Rai to privately-owned Canale 5 and continued to present programmes well into old age.
Among his best known programmes were Lascia o raddoppia.
Many will remember him for his trademark Allegria! at the start of his shows.
Mr Bongiorno died suddenly of a heart attack in Monte Carlo.

Monday, September 7, 2009

Global Overview


US
  • The US economic indicators point to the recession coming to an end, however, little encouragement from the consumer sector as retail sales disappoint amid a weal labour market.
Europe

  • The summer rally in equities extended for another month as stocks reacted from the economic data and the positive earnings. European equities registered the strongest gains due to France and Germany emerging from the recession. Although unemployment still rises.
UK
  • The UK equities has had another positive month. Cyclical sectors outperformed, while defensive areas of the market lagged.
Asia Pacific
  • The Japanese economy has returned to growth, expanding at an annualised rate of 3.7% in the second quarter, although some disappointment in Chinese economic data prompts profit taking.
Emerging Markets
  • Latin America also advances, benefiting from upbeat US economic data.

Monthly Market Roundup August 2009

Mark Hollingsworth, Director, Hollingsworth International Financial Services Ltd

Tel: +357 99066840 (Cyprus Mobile), +356 21316298 (Malta Office)

e-mail: info@hollingsworth-int.com Website: http://www.hollingsworth.eu.com/

Authorised by the Malta Financial Services Authority to provide investment services, license IS/32457

Friday, September 4, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • Crude edges higher above $68 ahead of economic data.

  • Gold sets sight on $1,000; soybeans slide.

  • U.S. stocks rise on data, gold gains as hedge.

Reuters 4th September 2009.



  • Finance officials from the Group of 20 richest nations are set to outline a commitment to boosting the global economy when they meet in London later.

  • The UK scrappage scheme continued to help new car sales in August with sales up 6% from a year ago, the second consecutive month of growth.

  • Microsoft has overturned a ban on it selling its flagship Word software, imposed after a patent dispute.

BBC Business News 4th September 2009.



  • Dementieva and Jankovic both crash out at the US Open but Andy Roddick wins.

  • Arsenal set to fight European ban.

  • Fisichella makes switch to Ferrari.

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • Crude edges up above $68/bbl on weaker dollar.

  • Gold surges on safe-haven hunt, sugar rally pauses.

  • Asset prices meander absent strong economy trend.

Reuters 3rd September 2009.



  • Oil giant BP says it has made a "giant" new oil discovery in its fields in the Gulf of Mexico.

  • US Federal Reserve policymakers are increasingly confident the downturn in the US economy is ending, minutes from their latest meeting show.

  • The US financial watchdog mishandled a string of probes into the business of convicted fraudster Bernard Madoff, an investigation has found.


BBC Business News 3rd September 2009.



  • Federer and Nadal both have easy wins at the US Open.

  • New Zealand hit back to beat Sri Lanka in their Twenty 20 International.

  • Portsmouth chief executive admits the club was close to administration in the past few months.

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • Stocks tumble on bank failure fears, bonds gain.

  • Economic worries send prices lower on commodities.

  • Oil above $68 on US stockdraw, awaits EIA, econ data.

Reuters 2nd September 2009.



  • The Australian economy grew by more than expected in the second quarter of 2009, boosted by increases in household consumption and business investment.

  • EU plans to regulate hedge funds are a "blatant attack" on London's role as an international financial centre, the mayor of the city has said.

  • Online auction site eBay has agreed to sell the majority of internet phone company Skype for about $2bn (£1.2bn).

BBC Business News 2nd September 2009.



  • Andy Murray starts with a convincing win at the US Open however womens top seed Darina Safina made to struggle before winning.

  • Eduardo given two match euro ban for diving against Celtic.

  • Ferrari count on Massa return fro the 2010 season.

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Hollingsworth Daily Post



  • Crude edges further below $70, after fall on China.

  • Markets plummet on China; sugar bucks trend.

  • Libya denies Megrahi release linked to oil deals.

Reuters 1st September 2009.



  • Entertainment giant Walt Disney is to buy Marvel Entertainment in a shares and cash deal valued at $4bn (£2.5bn).

  • Prime Minister Gordon Brown has said that the culture of bank bonuses should be geared towards long-term success.

  • PetroChina has agreed to buy a 60% stake in two planned Canadian oil sands projects for $1.7bn (£1bn).

BBC Business News 1st September 2009



  • John Terry signs new 5 year deal to stay at Chelsea as the transfer window closes today.

  • In Formula 1 , Fisichella closes in on move to Ferrari from Force India.

  • Venus Williams 3 points from defeat before winning at the US Open.