by Raymond Chatlani
On Monday, Asian stocks gave up early gains and fell as fears that the U.S. is slipping back into recession caused investors to dump riskier assets. Gold hit a new all time high of over $1,890 an ounce. Bank shares crashed despite a widespread rally across Europe's major stock markets as questions were raised about their ability to fund themselves. US markets rose modestly on expectations of the Feds introducing another quantitive easing program.
On Tuesday, Asian markets extended gains after the Chinese flash PMI from HSBC, designed to preview China's factory output before official data, showed the index edging up to 49.8 in August from July's final reading of 49.3. That left the index just below the 50-point mark which separates expansion from contraction, but HSBC itself believes a reading as low as 48.0 in China would still point to an annual growth of 12-13 percent in industrial output and 9 percent in GDP. For the fourth straight session, gold hit another new all time high at 1,911 an ounce at one point as investors continued to fret about the health of the global economy. European stocks rose as manufacturing activity in Germany was better than expected, rising to 52 in August, compared with estimates for a reading of 50.8. US stockmarkets rose amid better-than-expected global manufacturing data and expectations that the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will discuss additional support for the U.S. economy during a conference on Friday.
On Wednesday, Asian shares fell despite a sharp rally on Wall Street the previous night as Moody's downgraded Japan's credit rating to Aa3 from Aa2, citing weak growth prospects for the world's No. 3 economy, massive government debt and constant political uncertainty. European stockmarkets rocketed as the European Central Bank's weekly dollar funding operation was not used on Wednesday, calming fears that euro zone banks are being increasingly blacklisted by U.S. money market funds because of their exposure to the region's debt crisis. US markets turned higher as a larger-than-anticipated rise in orders for durable goods bolstered the view that, while sluggish, the economy is not headed into recession.
On Thursday, Asian shares rose cheered by gains on Wall Street and gold continued to struggle after running into a wall of profit-taking. European stockmarkets ended lower after another volatile trading session, as talk of an imminent ban on short-selling in Germany, later denied, swept through equity markets. . US markets fell on weakness in industrial and technology shares as Apple Inc fell 2 percent to $368.75 a day after co-founder Steve Jobs resigned as chief executive, keeping the Nasdaq negative. Adding to tech woes, Applied Materials Inc fell 3.6 percent to $10.94 after warning Wednesday that fourth-quarter revenue could fall as much as 30 percent on plummeting demand.
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets fell marginally on jittery trading as investors waited to see if Bernanke offered more support for the U.S. economy when he delivers a highly anticipated speech at a conference later today in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. European markets fell on concerns about the debt crisis. Wall Street rose sharply after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. was headed for long-term economic growth.
This morning, Asian stocks rose after US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke left the door open for further action to stimulate the economy and fight high unemployment.
Last week, global markets rose modestly with commodities rising sharply except for oil. European shares were mixed as some markets fell due to the ongoing Eurozone crisis. The bigger picture here is that US Federal Reserve chairman Bernanke appears to have enough confidence that the economy is not going to worsen and so he thinks there is no need for a QE3 at this time. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke also left the door open to new stimulus to help the U.S. economy and reduce unemployment.
We expect this volatility and lack of direction in the markets to continue during September as traders and fund managers will still be on holiday. If Bernanke does launch QE3 as expected this Autumn, then markets should recover their present summer losses.
Monday, August 29, 2011
Friday, August 12, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
by Raymond Chatlani
On Monday, Asian shares fell and the dollar languished near a record low against the Swiss franc, as investors took fright at a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, while gold powered to another new record high of $1,712 an ounce despite pledges by the G7 and the ECB. The falls continued although G7 finance ministers that they were "ready to take action to ensure stability and liquidity in markets" and the ECB said that it would "actively implement" its controversial bond-buying programme to fight the euro zone's debt crisis and actively start buying Spanish and Italian debt. European and US markets extended last week's rout with the Dow Jones industrial average ending 5.55 percent lower following Friday's historic downgrade of the U.S. AAA credit grade by ratings firm Standard & Poor's.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets nosedived and the Swiss franc held near a record high, as investors dumped riskier assets in a global rout triggered by fears that political leaders are failing to tackle debt crises in Europe and the United States while gold hit a new high of $1,778 an ounce. The news that Chinese consumer prices in July rose 6.5 percent from a year earlier contributed to these falls, but Asian markets later staged a sharp rebound from early lows. European and US markets recovered after initially falling in a highly volatile session and closed into positive territory after the U.S. Federal Reserve promised to extend near-zero interest rates for two more years and said it would consider further steps to help growth..
On Wednesday, Asian stocks rebounded, following a jump in U.S. shares, after the Federal Reserve made an unprecedented pledge to keep interest rates near zero for at least two years, stemming a global equity rout for the time being. European markets got hammered on worries that the debt crisis in Europe is spilling in to France amid a weaker economic outlook in the United States. A storm of market questions on the financial solidity of a major French bank and talk of an impending downgrade of France's credit rating, all denied by authorities, rattled financial markets. Safe-haven buying lifted gold above $1,800 per ounce for the first time and oil rebounded from six month lows on Wedesday as confidence in the U.S. and euro zone economies eroded fast. U.S. stockmarkets also fell on fears about the French banking sector's exposure to shaky European debt and its possible spillover onto U.S. banks.
On Thursday, Asian stocks fell 1-2 percent as the fallout from Wall Street's 4 percent drop overnight was limited by a rise in U.S. stock futures, while gold climbed above $1,800 an ounce to a new record, reflecting fears over Europe's worsening financial crisis. European markets initially fell as French bank's shares prices and the cost of insuring Italian government bonds against default hit a record high and the country's stock market fell again as politicians raised doubts about Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's new austerity plan. However, European and US stockmarkets rose strongly as a strong U.S. jobs report trumped early concerns about French banks and fears that Europe's debt crisis will spread.
On Friday, Asian stocks edged up, as investors hunted for value after an intense week of volatility, though the festering European financial crisis may mean that havens like gold and the Swiss franc may still draw buyers. European markets rose as regulators of major European exchanges banned the short-selling of financial company shares, protecting them from downward pressure by speculators.Wall Street rose gently at the time of writing as traders dissected mixed reports on consumer sentiment, retail sales and business inventories. The government says that consumers spent more on autos, furniture and gasoline in July, pushing up retail sales by the largest amount in four months. But a survey on consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than 30 years. And a separate report showed that businesses increased their stockpiles in July by the smallest amount since May 2010.
Another volatile week in the markets where investors continued to sell equities and commodities and seek safe havens such as gold, the Swiss Franc and US treasuries. This week gold breeched $1,800 an ounce temporarily. Besides last week's fears of a US slowdown and spikes of over 6 percent in Spanish and Italian bonds which were unsustainable, this week investors sold on rumours of a downgrade in France's credit rating and fears that Societe Generale may become insolvent and has to be bailed out by the French Government. French authorities denied this and markets bounced back today on the back of a ban on short selling of financial shares in many European markets, especially Spain, Italy and France.
Such volatility is expected to continue for a few weeks until it is clear whether the US economy will fall into recession again and if the Eurozone countries can muddle through the debt crisis.
On Monday, Asian shares fell and the dollar languished near a record low against the Swiss franc, as investors took fright at a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, while gold powered to another new record high of $1,712 an ounce despite pledges by the G7 and the ECB. The falls continued although G7 finance ministers that they were "ready to take action to ensure stability and liquidity in markets" and the ECB said that it would "actively implement" its controversial bond-buying programme to fight the euro zone's debt crisis and actively start buying Spanish and Italian debt. European and US markets extended last week's rout with the Dow Jones industrial average ending 5.55 percent lower following Friday's historic downgrade of the U.S. AAA credit grade by ratings firm Standard & Poor's.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets nosedived and the Swiss franc held near a record high, as investors dumped riskier assets in a global rout triggered by fears that political leaders are failing to tackle debt crises in Europe and the United States while gold hit a new high of $1,778 an ounce. The news that Chinese consumer prices in July rose 6.5 percent from a year earlier contributed to these falls, but Asian markets later staged a sharp rebound from early lows. European and US markets recovered after initially falling in a highly volatile session and closed into positive territory after the U.S. Federal Reserve promised to extend near-zero interest rates for two more years and said it would consider further steps to help growth..
On Wednesday, Asian stocks rebounded, following a jump in U.S. shares, after the Federal Reserve made an unprecedented pledge to keep interest rates near zero for at least two years, stemming a global equity rout for the time being. European markets got hammered on worries that the debt crisis in Europe is spilling in to France amid a weaker economic outlook in the United States. A storm of market questions on the financial solidity of a major French bank and talk of an impending downgrade of France's credit rating, all denied by authorities, rattled financial markets. Safe-haven buying lifted gold above $1,800 per ounce for the first time and oil rebounded from six month lows on Wedesday as confidence in the U.S. and euro zone economies eroded fast. U.S. stockmarkets also fell on fears about the French banking sector's exposure to shaky European debt and its possible spillover onto U.S. banks.
On Thursday, Asian stocks fell 1-2 percent as the fallout from Wall Street's 4 percent drop overnight was limited by a rise in U.S. stock futures, while gold climbed above $1,800 an ounce to a new record, reflecting fears over Europe's worsening financial crisis. European markets initially fell as French bank's shares prices and the cost of insuring Italian government bonds against default hit a record high and the country's stock market fell again as politicians raised doubts about Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's new austerity plan. However, European and US stockmarkets rose strongly as a strong U.S. jobs report trumped early concerns about French banks and fears that Europe's debt crisis will spread.
On Friday, Asian stocks edged up, as investors hunted for value after an intense week of volatility, though the festering European financial crisis may mean that havens like gold and the Swiss franc may still draw buyers. European markets rose as regulators of major European exchanges banned the short-selling of financial company shares, protecting them from downward pressure by speculators.Wall Street rose gently at the time of writing as traders dissected mixed reports on consumer sentiment, retail sales and business inventories. The government says that consumers spent more on autos, furniture and gasoline in July, pushing up retail sales by the largest amount in four months. But a survey on consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than 30 years. And a separate report showed that businesses increased their stockpiles in July by the smallest amount since May 2010.
Another volatile week in the markets where investors continued to sell equities and commodities and seek safe havens such as gold, the Swiss Franc and US treasuries. This week gold breeched $1,800 an ounce temporarily. Besides last week's fears of a US slowdown and spikes of over 6 percent in Spanish and Italian bonds which were unsustainable, this week investors sold on rumours of a downgrade in France's credit rating and fears that Societe Generale may become insolvent and has to be bailed out by the French Government. French authorities denied this and markets bounced back today on the back of a ban on short selling of financial shares in many European markets, especially Spain, Italy and France.
Such volatility is expected to continue for a few weeks until it is clear whether the US economy will fall into recession again and if the Eurozone countries can muddle through the debt crisis.
Monday, August 8, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
By Raymond Chatlani
This morning, Asian stockmarkets rose after U.S. President Barack Obama said congressional leaders agreed to raise the nation's borrowing limit and avert a default by the world's top oil consumer. Both Euope and Wall Street fell as manufacturing activity barely grew in July, falling to the weakest level since just after the recession ended. The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of purchasing executives, says its index of manufacturing activity fell to 50.9 percent in July from 55.3 percent in June. That's the lowest reading since July 2009, one month after the recession officially ended.
On Tuesday, Asian shares fell on concerns about the health of the global economy after sluggish U.S. manufacturing data. European markets hit their lowest close in 11 months as weak global growth replaced the U.S. debt ceiling row as investors' main concern and banks fell on worries about the euro zone peripheral debt crisis. Europe's sovereign debt crisis contributed to the gloom as Italian bond yields hit their highest in the euro's 11-year lifetime today .US stockmarkets fell as investors fretted about a possible credit downgrade amid concerns that economic growth could remain subdued. Many investors fear that even if the US debt ceiling is raised, the measures would not be enough to avoid a credit downgrade which will raise borrowing costs. Also, in the latest economic data, U.S. consumer spending fell unexpectedly in June to post the first decline in nearly two years as incomes barely rose, the government reported.
On Wednesday, Asian stockmarkets fell for a second successive day and safe haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc shone as renewed fears about the health of the global economy rattled financial markets. Confirmation of a last-gasp deal to avoid a default by the United States failed to bring any relief, as investors focused instead on worries that major economies could slip back into recession amid weak data and Europe's festering debt crisis. Gold hit anew all time high of $1,662 an ounce. European markets fell on the back that the last three days in the USA, a weak manufacturing report has been delivered, fresh signs the US consumer is ailing and, yesterday, evidence the country’s services sector is slowing. For investors it opens a new front of worry besides Europe, where Italy and Spain are in the eye of the debt storm. Wall Street fell initially as U.S. service firms, which employ nearly 90 percent of the country's work force, experienced their weakest growth in 17 months in July, but finished in positive territory as investors saw value and scupped up beaten down shares. The report confirms other data that show the economy is struggling two years after the recession ended.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell as worries about slowing global growth sapped investor enthusiasm. Markets are also awaiting results of a Spanish bond auction after yields on Spanish and Italian bonds jumped in recent sessions on fears those economies would be engulfed by debt problems. Gold hit another record new high of $1,678 an ounce. European and US markets fell and commodities tumbled, trampled by a global stampede away from riskier assets as investors panicked over mounting signs of a sluggish U.S. economy as the US Labor Department reported that weekly claims for unemployment benefits remained at a high 400,000 last week.
On Friday, Asian stocks dropped 3 to 4 percent after panic triggered the worst sell-off on Wall Street since the global financial crisis, sending investors slashing positions and scrambling for cash and government bonds. Initially, European stocks fell heavily as the selling continued although nonfarm payrolls increased 117,000, the US Labor Department said, above market expectations for an 85,000 gain. The unemployment rate dipped to 9.1 percent from 9.2 percent in June, mostly the result of people leaving the labor force. Wall Street rallied at the open but closed mixed as S & P lowered the USA's credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
This morning, Asian shares fell and the dollar languished near a record low against the Swiss franc, as investors took fright at a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, while gold powered to another new record high of $1,712 an ounce despite pledges by the G7 and the ECB. The falls continued although G7 finance ministers that they were "ready to take action to ensure stability and liquidity in markets" and the ECB said that it would "actively implement" its controversial bond-buying programme to fight the euro zone's debt crisis and actively start buying Spanish and Italian debt..
The worst week for global markets since 2008 as investors fear that the US may enter into recession and that Eurozone countries will be unable to rollover their debts at reasonable interest rates. Last week we saw a flight to safety as equities tanked and investors sought safe havens such as the Swiss Franc, US treasuries and gold.
In the US, in the past two weeks, we have seen consumer spending and private sector employment fall, a weak manufacturing report and lower durable goods orders and the US debt ceiling was raised as the US Government pledged to cut the US deficit which means that there will be no spending on economic stimulus. Also, the Federal Reserve is reluctant to do anything more. Without much to invigorate growth, the US economy may be in danger of slipping into a stupor like the one Japan has failed to shake off for more than a decade, so Wall Street is spooked.
Italian and Spanish bond rates rose above 6 percent which is unsustainable as investors panicked and started to dump them. Clearly, the second Greek bailout two weeks ago did nothing to calm the markets. The S & P downgrade of the US credit rating to AA+ on Friday affected Asian markets this morning and US futures are well down.
Markets may continue to fall for a number of weeks until investors are reassured that Government authorities will ensure that there is ample liquidity in the markets. Many analysts believe that there will be great opportunities in certain sectors of the markets when this correction is eventually over. Across the world company fundamentals are in much better shape than three years ago. Firms have cut costs, borrowings are a lot lower and growth seems to be returning across a number of sectors.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets rose after U.S. President Barack Obama said congressional leaders agreed to raise the nation's borrowing limit and avert a default by the world's top oil consumer. Both Euope and Wall Street fell as manufacturing activity barely grew in July, falling to the weakest level since just after the recession ended. The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of purchasing executives, says its index of manufacturing activity fell to 50.9 percent in July from 55.3 percent in June. That's the lowest reading since July 2009, one month after the recession officially ended.
On Tuesday, Asian shares fell on concerns about the health of the global economy after sluggish U.S. manufacturing data. European markets hit their lowest close in 11 months as weak global growth replaced the U.S. debt ceiling row as investors' main concern and banks fell on worries about the euro zone peripheral debt crisis. Europe's sovereign debt crisis contributed to the gloom as Italian bond yields hit their highest in the euro's 11-year lifetime today .US stockmarkets fell as investors fretted about a possible credit downgrade amid concerns that economic growth could remain subdued. Many investors fear that even if the US debt ceiling is raised, the measures would not be enough to avoid a credit downgrade which will raise borrowing costs. Also, in the latest economic data, U.S. consumer spending fell unexpectedly in June to post the first decline in nearly two years as incomes barely rose, the government reported.
On Wednesday, Asian stockmarkets fell for a second successive day and safe haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc shone as renewed fears about the health of the global economy rattled financial markets. Confirmation of a last-gasp deal to avoid a default by the United States failed to bring any relief, as investors focused instead on worries that major economies could slip back into recession amid weak data and Europe's festering debt crisis. Gold hit anew all time high of $1,662 an ounce. European markets fell on the back that the last three days in the USA, a weak manufacturing report has been delivered, fresh signs the US consumer is ailing and, yesterday, evidence the country’s services sector is slowing. For investors it opens a new front of worry besides Europe, where Italy and Spain are in the eye of the debt storm. Wall Street fell initially as U.S. service firms, which employ nearly 90 percent of the country's work force, experienced their weakest growth in 17 months in July, but finished in positive territory as investors saw value and scupped up beaten down shares. The report confirms other data that show the economy is struggling two years after the recession ended.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell as worries about slowing global growth sapped investor enthusiasm. Markets are also awaiting results of a Spanish bond auction after yields on Spanish and Italian bonds jumped in recent sessions on fears those economies would be engulfed by debt problems. Gold hit another record new high of $1,678 an ounce. European and US markets fell and commodities tumbled, trampled by a global stampede away from riskier assets as investors panicked over mounting signs of a sluggish U.S. economy as the US Labor Department reported that weekly claims for unemployment benefits remained at a high 400,000 last week.
On Friday, Asian stocks dropped 3 to 4 percent after panic triggered the worst sell-off on Wall Street since the global financial crisis, sending investors slashing positions and scrambling for cash and government bonds. Initially, European stocks fell heavily as the selling continued although nonfarm payrolls increased 117,000, the US Labor Department said, above market expectations for an 85,000 gain. The unemployment rate dipped to 9.1 percent from 9.2 percent in June, mostly the result of people leaving the labor force. Wall Street rallied at the open but closed mixed as S & P lowered the USA's credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
This morning, Asian shares fell and the dollar languished near a record low against the Swiss franc, as investors took fright at a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, while gold powered to another new record high of $1,712 an ounce despite pledges by the G7 and the ECB. The falls continued although G7 finance ministers that they were "ready to take action to ensure stability and liquidity in markets" and the ECB said that it would "actively implement" its controversial bond-buying programme to fight the euro zone's debt crisis and actively start buying Spanish and Italian debt..
The worst week for global markets since 2008 as investors fear that the US may enter into recession and that Eurozone countries will be unable to rollover their debts at reasonable interest rates. Last week we saw a flight to safety as equities tanked and investors sought safe havens such as the Swiss Franc, US treasuries and gold.
In the US, in the past two weeks, we have seen consumer spending and private sector employment fall, a weak manufacturing report and lower durable goods orders and the US debt ceiling was raised as the US Government pledged to cut the US deficit which means that there will be no spending on economic stimulus. Also, the Federal Reserve is reluctant to do anything more. Without much to invigorate growth, the US economy may be in danger of slipping into a stupor like the one Japan has failed to shake off for more than a decade, so Wall Street is spooked.
Italian and Spanish bond rates rose above 6 percent which is unsustainable as investors panicked and started to dump them. Clearly, the second Greek bailout two weeks ago did nothing to calm the markets. The S & P downgrade of the US credit rating to AA+ on Friday affected Asian markets this morning and US futures are well down.
Markets may continue to fall for a number of weeks until investors are reassured that Government authorities will ensure that there is ample liquidity in the markets. Many analysts believe that there will be great opportunities in certain sectors of the markets when this correction is eventually over. Across the world company fundamentals are in much better shape than three years ago. Firms have cut costs, borrowings are a lot lower and growth seems to be returning across a number of sectors.
Monday, August 1, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
by Raymond Chatlani
On Monday, gold hit a record high above $1,620 an ounce, while the dollar steadied and Asian stocks slipped as investors piled into bullion over fears of a possible U.S. debt default as the debt ceiling talks in Washington stalled. Financials led european stockmarkets down on US debt concerns. US markets fell as political brinkmanship in Washington over the debt ceiling sparked fears of a U.S. rating downgrade. Gold surged to another record high, while oil and other commodities fell as the countdown for the United States to reach a debt deal or face a disastrous default drove investors into safer assets.
On Tuesday, Asian shares edged higher, bouncing back from a slide the previous day, after U.S. stocks posted only modest losses in reaction to the worsening deadlock in Washington over raising the debt limit and avoiding a technical bond default. Commodities rose broadly on Tuesday, with copper and corn outperforming the pack, as fear of a U.S. credit default sank the dollar and investors sought assets that could preserve value. European and US stockmarkets fell on a stalemate in US debt talks.
On Wednesday, Asian stocks rebounded and the U.S. dollar fell while gold hit a record high at more than $1,624 an ounce, as a drip feed of news out of Washington indicated politicians were making little progress on a plan to lift the U.S. debt ceiling. European markets fell for a third day as Italian banks tumbled in Milan as the Eurozone debt crisis resurfaced as Spain and Italy's borrowing costs marched back towards euro-era highs. Analysts said that this is due to Merkel's failure to confirm the bail-out plans until "after the parliamentary summer break". US stockmarkets fell amid continued gridlock for lawmakers debating how to avoid a debt default and a weak report on orders for manufactured goods. The government said that orders for durable goods fell 2.1 percent in June because of a drop in orders for commercial aircraft, automobiles and heavy machinery.
On Thursday, Asian markets tumbled following big losses on Wall Street, as the deadline approaches for US lawmakers to strike a deal to avoid a disastrous default. The White House and Democrats and their Republican rivals continue to bicker over a deficit-slashing plan that would allow a hike in the US debt ceiling, despite the government running out of money to pay its bills within a week. European shares fell for a fourth straight session to hit a one-week low as disappointing earnings and cautious comments from major European companies raised concerns about corporate profits. US stockmarkets fell as a stalemate continued over the U.S. debt limit even though there was a strong jobs report. The number of Americans claiming new unemployment benefits last week dropped below the 400,000 level for the first time since early April, a hopeful sign for the economy which has struggled to regain momentum.
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets fell as U.S. lawmakers squabbled over a compromise to avoid an unprecedented debt default, while growing worries about Europe's debt crisis weighed on the euro, adding to investor wariness. European markets fell after Moody's threatend to downgrade Spanish, adding to concerns that a Greek rescue package has done little to halt the spread of the eurozone debt crisis. Wall Street fell to post its worst weekly losses in nearly a year after data showed meager growth in the economy and debt deal deadlock kept investors nervous. The economy expanded at meager 1.3 percent annual rate in the spring after scarcely growing at all in the first three months of the year, the Commerce Department said Friday. Gold hit a new high of $1,632 an ounce.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets rose after U.S. President Barack Obama said congressional leaders agreed to raise the nation's borrowing limit and avert a default by the world's top oil consumer.
Last week, global markets fell significantly on fears of US lawmakers failing to lift the country's $14.3 trillion borrowing ceiling and risking a default and possible downgrade of its prized AAA credit rating as investors lost appetite for risky assets. Also, throughout last week's increasingly intense showdown in Washington over the U.S. debt ceiling, the spreads of Italian and Spanish bond yields over Germany widened sharply, signifying persistent unease that Greece's problem may spread to other European countries. Investors flocked to gold as a safe haven which hit a new record high of $1,632 an ounce on Friday.
This morning's news that the US debt ceiling will be raised should be positive for markets this week but will depend on whatever fiscal accord have been agreed. Details of this agreement will be revealed later today and tomorrow. European and US futures are already up and gold fell one percent this morning as investors are seeking riskier assets in anticipation of this new accord passing both the Senate and the House.
On Monday, gold hit a record high above $1,620 an ounce, while the dollar steadied and Asian stocks slipped as investors piled into bullion over fears of a possible U.S. debt default as the debt ceiling talks in Washington stalled. Financials led european stockmarkets down on US debt concerns. US markets fell as political brinkmanship in Washington over the debt ceiling sparked fears of a U.S. rating downgrade. Gold surged to another record high, while oil and other commodities fell as the countdown for the United States to reach a debt deal or face a disastrous default drove investors into safer assets.
On Tuesday, Asian shares edged higher, bouncing back from a slide the previous day, after U.S. stocks posted only modest losses in reaction to the worsening deadlock in Washington over raising the debt limit and avoiding a technical bond default. Commodities rose broadly on Tuesday, with copper and corn outperforming the pack, as fear of a U.S. credit default sank the dollar and investors sought assets that could preserve value. European and US stockmarkets fell on a stalemate in US debt talks.
On Wednesday, Asian stocks rebounded and the U.S. dollar fell while gold hit a record high at more than $1,624 an ounce, as a drip feed of news out of Washington indicated politicians were making little progress on a plan to lift the U.S. debt ceiling. European markets fell for a third day as Italian banks tumbled in Milan as the Eurozone debt crisis resurfaced as Spain and Italy's borrowing costs marched back towards euro-era highs. Analysts said that this is due to Merkel's failure to confirm the bail-out plans until "after the parliamentary summer break". US stockmarkets fell amid continued gridlock for lawmakers debating how to avoid a debt default and a weak report on orders for manufactured goods. The government said that orders for durable goods fell 2.1 percent in June because of a drop in orders for commercial aircraft, automobiles and heavy machinery.
On Thursday, Asian markets tumbled following big losses on Wall Street, as the deadline approaches for US lawmakers to strike a deal to avoid a disastrous default. The White House and Democrats and their Republican rivals continue to bicker over a deficit-slashing plan that would allow a hike in the US debt ceiling, despite the government running out of money to pay its bills within a week. European shares fell for a fourth straight session to hit a one-week low as disappointing earnings and cautious comments from major European companies raised concerns about corporate profits. US stockmarkets fell as a stalemate continued over the U.S. debt limit even though there was a strong jobs report. The number of Americans claiming new unemployment benefits last week dropped below the 400,000 level for the first time since early April, a hopeful sign for the economy which has struggled to regain momentum.
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets fell as U.S. lawmakers squabbled over a compromise to avoid an unprecedented debt default, while growing worries about Europe's debt crisis weighed on the euro, adding to investor wariness. European markets fell after Moody's threatend to downgrade Spanish, adding to concerns that a Greek rescue package has done little to halt the spread of the eurozone debt crisis. Wall Street fell to post its worst weekly losses in nearly a year after data showed meager growth in the economy and debt deal deadlock kept investors nervous. The economy expanded at meager 1.3 percent annual rate in the spring after scarcely growing at all in the first three months of the year, the Commerce Department said Friday. Gold hit a new high of $1,632 an ounce.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets rose after U.S. President Barack Obama said congressional leaders agreed to raise the nation's borrowing limit and avert a default by the world's top oil consumer.
Last week, global markets fell significantly on fears of US lawmakers failing to lift the country's $14.3 trillion borrowing ceiling and risking a default and possible downgrade of its prized AAA credit rating as investors lost appetite for risky assets. Also, throughout last week's increasingly intense showdown in Washington over the U.S. debt ceiling, the spreads of Italian and Spanish bond yields over Germany widened sharply, signifying persistent unease that Greece's problem may spread to other European countries. Investors flocked to gold as a safe haven which hit a new record high of $1,632 an ounce on Friday.
This morning's news that the US debt ceiling will be raised should be positive for markets this week but will depend on whatever fiscal accord have been agreed. Details of this agreement will be revealed later today and tomorrow. European and US futures are already up and gold fell one percent this morning as investors are seeking riskier assets in anticipation of this new accord passing both the Senate and the House.
Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
by Raymond Chatlani
On Monday, Asian markets fell modestly on worries about Europe's banking woes and debt problems in the U.S. European stockmarkets continued to fall on sovereign debt woes and last Friday's stress tests with banks' share prices falling heavily. Mounting fears that politicians will fail to resolve the eurorozone's debt crisis sent markets sliding and Spain and Italy's borrowing costs nearing the "point of no return". The yields, or returns, on Spanish and Italian 10-year government debt hit euro-era highs over 6pc as investors demanded greater reward to shoulder the risk. Investors are unconvinced that the euro-sharing nations will manage to reach agreement on a second bail-out for Greece before Thursday's crunch summit in Brussels. US markets fell over Europe's banking troubles and an impasse over lifting the U.S. government's borrowing limit with gold breeching a new all time high above $1,600 an ounce and silver over $40 an ounce on safe haven demand.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets continued to fall on sovereign debt fears. European markets bounced back led by banks but caution remained ahead of a crucial summit on Thursday where eurozone leaders will try to agree on a second rescue package for debt-stricken Greece. US markets rose as a strong quarterly report from IBM and Coca-Cola and a surge in housing starts sparked investor optimism a day after a selloff. Housing starts topped forecasts in June to touch a six-month high, and permits for future construction unexpectedly increased, the government reported. Also, President Barack Obama backed a proposal by six senators that would cut debt by $3.7 trillion over the next decade and raise the country's $14.3 trillion debt ceiling.
On Wednesday, Asian shares rose as indications of progress on a U.S. budget-reduction deal boosted investor confidence while encouraging quarterly numbers from Apple Inc and International Business Machines Corp helped Asia's beaten-down tech sector gain for a second day. European markets rose boosted by gains in Asia and overnight on Wall Street, as investors assessed global debt concerns. US stockmarkets closed nearly unchanged as the oncoming debt ceiling deadline overshadowed strong earnings from Apple Inc. Apple hit another all-time high one day after the maker of the iPhone and iPad reported quarterly revenues that far exceeded expectationsinvestors sat on their hands amid the unresolved debt ceiling crisis in Washington as the White House and Congress were negotiating a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling before a looming default on Aug. 2.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell as poor manufacturing data on top copper consumer China countered optimism about progress in resolving debt woes in Europe and the United States as it suggests that the Chinese economy is slowing down. European and US markets surged as EU leaders agreed on a package to rescue Greece. The Greek economy will get an injection of 109bn euros (£95.9bn) with more from the private sector in the coming decades.
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets rose after European leaders agreed on a package to rescue debt-stricken Greece and gains will be sustained if U.S. policymakers also manage to cobble together a last minute deal. European markets rose on the Greek bailout package. US indices closed mixed as Caterpillar's profit missed estimates, offsetting a strong report from GE and an agreement on a Greece rescue package.
This morning, Gold hit a record high above $1,620 an ounce, while the dollar steadied and Asian stocks slipped as investors piled into bullion over fears of a possible U.S. debt default as the debt ceiling talks in Washington stalled.
Last week, global markets fell early in the week on Greek default concerns and fears that the US debt ceiling would not be raised. This all turned around on Thursday when EU leaders agreed to inject 109bn euros (£95.9bn) into the Greek economy with more from the private sector in the coming decades. Investors also became optimistic that US policymakers would reach an agreement to raise the US debt ceiling in time.
Commodities gained last week as precious metals such as gold and silver were purchased as safe havens. Oil also hit a three week high on optimism that Europe was tackling its huge debt problem while agricultural markets rallied on worries about the impact of excessive summer heat on crops.
This week, US corporate earnings should continue to be positive but markets may still fall if no comprise is reached to raise the US debt ceiling.
On Monday, Asian markets fell modestly on worries about Europe's banking woes and debt problems in the U.S. European stockmarkets continued to fall on sovereign debt woes and last Friday's stress tests with banks' share prices falling heavily. Mounting fears that politicians will fail to resolve the eurorozone's debt crisis sent markets sliding and Spain and Italy's borrowing costs nearing the "point of no return". The yields, or returns, on Spanish and Italian 10-year government debt hit euro-era highs over 6pc as investors demanded greater reward to shoulder the risk. Investors are unconvinced that the euro-sharing nations will manage to reach agreement on a second bail-out for Greece before Thursday's crunch summit in Brussels. US markets fell over Europe's banking troubles and an impasse over lifting the U.S. government's borrowing limit with gold breeching a new all time high above $1,600 an ounce and silver over $40 an ounce on safe haven demand.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets continued to fall on sovereign debt fears. European markets bounced back led by banks but caution remained ahead of a crucial summit on Thursday where eurozone leaders will try to agree on a second rescue package for debt-stricken Greece. US markets rose as a strong quarterly report from IBM and Coca-Cola and a surge in housing starts sparked investor optimism a day after a selloff. Housing starts topped forecasts in June to touch a six-month high, and permits for future construction unexpectedly increased, the government reported. Also, President Barack Obama backed a proposal by six senators that would cut debt by $3.7 trillion over the next decade and raise the country's $14.3 trillion debt ceiling.
On Wednesday, Asian shares rose as indications of progress on a U.S. budget-reduction deal boosted investor confidence while encouraging quarterly numbers from Apple Inc and International Business Machines Corp helped Asia's beaten-down tech sector gain for a second day. European markets rose boosted by gains in Asia and overnight on Wall Street, as investors assessed global debt concerns. US stockmarkets closed nearly unchanged as the oncoming debt ceiling deadline overshadowed strong earnings from Apple Inc. Apple hit another all-time high one day after the maker of the iPhone and iPad reported quarterly revenues that far exceeded expectationsinvestors sat on their hands amid the unresolved debt ceiling crisis in Washington as the White House and Congress were negotiating a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling before a looming default on Aug. 2.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell as poor manufacturing data on top copper consumer China countered optimism about progress in resolving debt woes in Europe and the United States as it suggests that the Chinese economy is slowing down. European and US markets surged as EU leaders agreed on a package to rescue Greece. The Greek economy will get an injection of 109bn euros (£95.9bn) with more from the private sector in the coming decades.
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets rose after European leaders agreed on a package to rescue debt-stricken Greece and gains will be sustained if U.S. policymakers also manage to cobble together a last minute deal. European markets rose on the Greek bailout package. US indices closed mixed as Caterpillar's profit missed estimates, offsetting a strong report from GE and an agreement on a Greece rescue package.
This morning, Gold hit a record high above $1,620 an ounce, while the dollar steadied and Asian stocks slipped as investors piled into bullion over fears of a possible U.S. debt default as the debt ceiling talks in Washington stalled.
Last week, global markets fell early in the week on Greek default concerns and fears that the US debt ceiling would not be raised. This all turned around on Thursday when EU leaders agreed to inject 109bn euros (£95.9bn) into the Greek economy with more from the private sector in the coming decades. Investors also became optimistic that US policymakers would reach an agreement to raise the US debt ceiling in time.
Commodities gained last week as precious metals such as gold and silver were purchased as safe havens. Oil also hit a three week high on optimism that Europe was tackling its huge debt problem while agricultural markets rallied on worries about the impact of excessive summer heat on crops.
This week, US corporate earnings should continue to be positive but markets may still fall if no comprise is reached to raise the US debt ceiling.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
By Raymond Chatlani
This morning, Asian stockmarkets tumbled on Friday's poor US jobs report and today's emergency ECB meeting over the debt crisis. European shares dropped as mounting signs the region's debt crisis was spreading to Italy hammered euro zone peripheral stocks, taking a key stockmarket index to a two-week low and below an important support level. Shares of financial institutions were among the worst hit. Wall Street dived as renewed jitters about Europe's debt crisis and the global economy overshadowed the start of earnings season.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets fell again on Europe's spreading debt crisis as Italian Government bond prices continued to fall. European indices fell for a third day as moves by officials to stem the European debt crisis failed to allay concerns that the risk was spreading to Italy and Spain. US markets fell as the U.S. trade gap widened sharply in May to its highest level in nearly three years as surging oil prices helped push imports to a near record and exports fell slightly from April's all-time high and as Ireland's beleaguered economy suffered another blow as Moody's cut its credit rating to junk status on fears that it will need further bail-outs.The country joins Portugal and Greece to become the third euro-area nation to be reduced to non-investment grade.
On Wednesday, Asian markets rebounded higher as China's rapid economic growth slowed in the latest quarter to a still robust 9.5pc, easing fears of an abrupt slowdown and giving Beijing room to tighten controls to fight surging inflation. Economic growth slowed slightly from 9.7pc in the January-March quarter following repeated interest rate rises and other controls, data showed on Wednesday. Factory output rebounded and retail sales grew by double digits. European stockmarkets were lifted by upbeat Chinese growth data. Wall Street closed higher after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested the Fed would consider additional measures to support the economy if the outlook gets worse, but the market is likely to get hit in the coming session after Moody's said it could cut the United States' prized triple-A credit rating. Gold hit record highs on safe-haven buying linked to the European debt crisis and a dollar weakened by hints of more economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve, while supply concerns drove most other commodities higher.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets fell modestly on fears that America ratings would be cut from AAA. Spot gold hit a record high $1,594 an ounce, buoyed by a sharp drop in the dollar after Moody's warned the U.S. may lose its top credit rating, the possibility of more Federal Reserve stimulus and Europe's deepening debt crisis. Both European and US markets fell on fears of the spreading Eurozone debt crisis and possible cut to the US credit rating although U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in June while weekly jobless claims dropped by a surprisingly large 22,000 to 405,000..
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets closed mixed although ratings agency Standard & Poor's has warned there is a one-in-two chance it could cut the United States' prized triple-A rating if a deal on raising the government's debt ceiling is not agreed soon. This is the second ratings agency that may cut the US credit rating. European markets closed lower as eight of 90 European banks failed the stress test. Wall Street advanced on strong corporate results from Citigroup and Google which offset a rash of weak U.S. economic data. Most major commodities rose on Friday, reversing the previous session's losses, as forecasts for hot weather drove up energy and agriculture prices and mounting fears about debt defaults lured investors into gold.
This morning, Asian markets fell modestly on worries about Europe's banking woes and debt problems in the U.S.
Last week, global markets fell as the ongoing debt crises in the U.S. and the euro zone kept investors from adding to their risky assets. The results of stress tests on European banks that were released after the close of trading Friday overshadowed the start of this week's trading in Asia. The results did little to reassure investor confidence in the continent's shaky financial sector, revealing that eight of 90 European banks flunked tests aimed at revealing how they would fare in another recession. Another 16 barely passed.
Investors are also unsettled by the inability of U.S. politicians to work out a deal to avoid a debt default before a deadline that is just two weeks away.
With policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic offering no clear solutions to the markets on their respective debt problems, risk-averse investors are expected to continue piling up perceived safe-haven instruments like gold which hit a record high of $ 1,598 an ounce this morning and bonds.
In the coming days there is likely to be volatility as the market grapples with these major issues. Earnings reports from US companies this week, even if positive may not lift the markets as investors focus on sovereign debt issues while commodities may continue to gain.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets tumbled on Friday's poor US jobs report and today's emergency ECB meeting over the debt crisis. European shares dropped as mounting signs the region's debt crisis was spreading to Italy hammered euro zone peripheral stocks, taking a key stockmarket index to a two-week low and below an important support level. Shares of financial institutions were among the worst hit. Wall Street dived as renewed jitters about Europe's debt crisis and the global economy overshadowed the start of earnings season.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets fell again on Europe's spreading debt crisis as Italian Government bond prices continued to fall. European indices fell for a third day as moves by officials to stem the European debt crisis failed to allay concerns that the risk was spreading to Italy and Spain. US markets fell as the U.S. trade gap widened sharply in May to its highest level in nearly three years as surging oil prices helped push imports to a near record and exports fell slightly from April's all-time high and as Ireland's beleaguered economy suffered another blow as Moody's cut its credit rating to junk status on fears that it will need further bail-outs.The country joins Portugal and Greece to become the third euro-area nation to be reduced to non-investment grade.
On Wednesday, Asian markets rebounded higher as China's rapid economic growth slowed in the latest quarter to a still robust 9.5pc, easing fears of an abrupt slowdown and giving Beijing room to tighten controls to fight surging inflation. Economic growth slowed slightly from 9.7pc in the January-March quarter following repeated interest rate rises and other controls, data showed on Wednesday. Factory output rebounded and retail sales grew by double digits. European stockmarkets were lifted by upbeat Chinese growth data. Wall Street closed higher after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested the Fed would consider additional measures to support the economy if the outlook gets worse, but the market is likely to get hit in the coming session after Moody's said it could cut the United States' prized triple-A credit rating. Gold hit record highs on safe-haven buying linked to the European debt crisis and a dollar weakened by hints of more economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve, while supply concerns drove most other commodities higher.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets fell modestly on fears that America ratings would be cut from AAA. Spot gold hit a record high $1,594 an ounce, buoyed by a sharp drop in the dollar after Moody's warned the U.S. may lose its top credit rating, the possibility of more Federal Reserve stimulus and Europe's deepening debt crisis. Both European and US markets fell on fears of the spreading Eurozone debt crisis and possible cut to the US credit rating although U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in June while weekly jobless claims dropped by a surprisingly large 22,000 to 405,000..
On Friday, Asian stockmarkets closed mixed although ratings agency Standard & Poor's has warned there is a one-in-two chance it could cut the United States' prized triple-A rating if a deal on raising the government's debt ceiling is not agreed soon. This is the second ratings agency that may cut the US credit rating. European markets closed lower as eight of 90 European banks failed the stress test. Wall Street advanced on strong corporate results from Citigroup and Google which offset a rash of weak U.S. economic data. Most major commodities rose on Friday, reversing the previous session's losses, as forecasts for hot weather drove up energy and agriculture prices and mounting fears about debt defaults lured investors into gold.
This morning, Asian markets fell modestly on worries about Europe's banking woes and debt problems in the U.S.
Last week, global markets fell as the ongoing debt crises in the U.S. and the euro zone kept investors from adding to their risky assets. The results of stress tests on European banks that were released after the close of trading Friday overshadowed the start of this week's trading in Asia. The results did little to reassure investor confidence in the continent's shaky financial sector, revealing that eight of 90 European banks flunked tests aimed at revealing how they would fare in another recession. Another 16 barely passed.
Investors are also unsettled by the inability of U.S. politicians to work out a deal to avoid a debt default before a deadline that is just two weeks away.
With policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic offering no clear solutions to the markets on their respective debt problems, risk-averse investors are expected to continue piling up perceived safe-haven instruments like gold which hit a record high of $ 1,598 an ounce this morning and bonds.
In the coming days there is likely to be volatility as the market grapples with these major issues. Earnings reports from US companies this week, even if positive may not lift the markets as investors focus on sovereign debt issues while commodities may continue to gain.
Monday, July 11, 2011
Weekly Market Summary
by Raymond Chatlani
On Monday, Asian stocks climbed and the euro inched higher after policymakers approved an emergency tranche of funding for Greece, offering a lifeline to the debt-stricken nation while strong U.S. data also boosted demand for risky assets. Euro zone finance ministers on Saturday approved a 12 billion euro instalment of Greece's bailout and said details of a second aid package for Athens would be finalised by mid-September. European markets mostly rose as worries about Greece receded further. Volume was low, at 56.6 percent of the index's 90-day average, with no direction provided by Wall Street, closed for the Independence Day holiday.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell modestly after rating agency Moody's said China's local government debt burden may be 3.5 trillion yuan ($540 billion) larger than auditors estimated, putting banks on the hook for deeper losses. European markets rose modestly on low volume. US stocks were little changed as concerns about further monetary tightening in China and soft euro-zone economic data made investors cautious.
On Wednesday, Asian stockmarkets fell after Moody's slashed Portugal's credit rating to junk status, reigniting fears that it may need a second rescue package. European markets fell on the Portugese downgrade and China's interest rate rise sparked jitters about global growth prospects. China's central bank increased interest rates for the third time this year today, making clear that taming inflation is a top priority as its economy gently slows. Although Portugal's credit downgrade pressured global stocks and China's rate hike weighed on commodities, Wall Street paid little heed and pushed shares higher.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets rose as investors judged that the People's Bank of China is getting closer to taking a break from its multiple increases in policy rates and bank reserve requirements as the economy shows signs of losing steam. European indexes rose after the ECB raised interest by a quarter percent to 1.5 percent as expected by investors and on improved US labour data. US markets rose after data showed an improvement in the labor market ahead of Friday's key U.S. government monthly payrolls report and as retail sales came in stronger than expected, raising hopes that economic recovery was gaining traction. A report by payrolls processor ADP showed U.S. private hiring increased by 157,000 in June, well above the expected 68,000, bouncing back from a surprise slump the month before. A separate report from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted 418,000 last week. The decline was more than economists's expectations for a fall to 420,000.
On Friday, Asian markets rose following good labour and retail sales data in the US the previous evening. Both European markets and Wall Street fell after the government said businesses added the fewest jobs in more than a year in June and the unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent and on fears that the eurozone's debt crisis will engulf Italy. The US economy generated a net 18,000 new jobs in June, and the number of jobs added in May was revised down to 25,000, the Labor Department said. Italy's benchmark index, the FTSE Mib, closed 3.5pc down amid worries that political jostling in Rome threatens the country's fiscal stability. The flight from Italian government debt saw the yield, or return, on its 10-year bonds touch 5.3pc, a euro-era high.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets fell on Friday's poor US jobs report and today's emergency ECB meeting over the debt crisis. Australia tumbled the most as it was unveiled on Sunday that the 500 worst polluters are to pay 23 Australian dollars ($25) for every ton of carbon dioxide they emit, with the government promising to compensate households hit with higher power bills under a plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Last week, global markets rose for a third consecutive week with commodities continuing their appreciation in price. The resolution of the Greek debt crisis and investors perception that China would bring inflation under control by the last quarter of 2011 were the main catalysts for these rises.
However, markets fell on Friday on the low number of jobs created in the US during June and fears that after Greece and Ireland that Italy will be the next country that will have a fiscal crisis.
Investors are worried that Giulio Tremonti, Italy's finance minister, is threatened by corruption accusations against a former aide and seems to have lost the support of his prime minister Silvio Berlusconi. The fear is that if Mr Tremonti is forced out of government it could derail the austerity measures he has pushed through to bring down Italy's huge debt, which amounts to around 120pc of its GDP. That would leave Italy in greater danger of being sucked into the turmoil which overtook Greece and Portugal, as doubts about their finances saw them shut out of the international debt markets.
This week markets will be focusing on this morning's emergency ECB meeting over how to stop contaign spreading to Italy and US second quarter corporate earnings.
On Monday, Asian stocks climbed and the euro inched higher after policymakers approved an emergency tranche of funding for Greece, offering a lifeline to the debt-stricken nation while strong U.S. data also boosted demand for risky assets. Euro zone finance ministers on Saturday approved a 12 billion euro instalment of Greece's bailout and said details of a second aid package for Athens would be finalised by mid-September. European markets mostly rose as worries about Greece receded further. Volume was low, at 56.6 percent of the index's 90-day average, with no direction provided by Wall Street, closed for the Independence Day holiday.
On Tuesday, Asian stockmarkets mostly fell modestly after rating agency Moody's said China's local government debt burden may be 3.5 trillion yuan ($540 billion) larger than auditors estimated, putting banks on the hook for deeper losses. European markets rose modestly on low volume. US stocks were little changed as concerns about further monetary tightening in China and soft euro-zone economic data made investors cautious.
On Wednesday, Asian stockmarkets fell after Moody's slashed Portugal's credit rating to junk status, reigniting fears that it may need a second rescue package. European markets fell on the Portugese downgrade and China's interest rate rise sparked jitters about global growth prospects. China's central bank increased interest rates for the third time this year today, making clear that taming inflation is a top priority as its economy gently slows. Although Portugal's credit downgrade pressured global stocks and China's rate hike weighed on commodities, Wall Street paid little heed and pushed shares higher.
On Thursday, Asian stockmarkets rose as investors judged that the People's Bank of China is getting closer to taking a break from its multiple increases in policy rates and bank reserve requirements as the economy shows signs of losing steam. European indexes rose after the ECB raised interest by a quarter percent to 1.5 percent as expected by investors and on improved US labour data. US markets rose after data showed an improvement in the labor market ahead of Friday's key U.S. government monthly payrolls report and as retail sales came in stronger than expected, raising hopes that economic recovery was gaining traction. A report by payrolls processor ADP showed U.S. private hiring increased by 157,000 in June, well above the expected 68,000, bouncing back from a surprise slump the month before. A separate report from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted 418,000 last week. The decline was more than economists's expectations for a fall to 420,000.
On Friday, Asian markets rose following good labour and retail sales data in the US the previous evening. Both European markets and Wall Street fell after the government said businesses added the fewest jobs in more than a year in June and the unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent and on fears that the eurozone's debt crisis will engulf Italy. The US economy generated a net 18,000 new jobs in June, and the number of jobs added in May was revised down to 25,000, the Labor Department said. Italy's benchmark index, the FTSE Mib, closed 3.5pc down amid worries that political jostling in Rome threatens the country's fiscal stability. The flight from Italian government debt saw the yield, or return, on its 10-year bonds touch 5.3pc, a euro-era high.
This morning, Asian stockmarkets fell on Friday's poor US jobs report and today's emergency ECB meeting over the debt crisis. Australia tumbled the most as it was unveiled on Sunday that the 500 worst polluters are to pay 23 Australian dollars ($25) for every ton of carbon dioxide they emit, with the government promising to compensate households hit with higher power bills under a plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Last week, global markets rose for a third consecutive week with commodities continuing their appreciation in price. The resolution of the Greek debt crisis and investors perception that China would bring inflation under control by the last quarter of 2011 were the main catalysts for these rises.
However, markets fell on Friday on the low number of jobs created in the US during June and fears that after Greece and Ireland that Italy will be the next country that will have a fiscal crisis.
Investors are worried that Giulio Tremonti, Italy's finance minister, is threatened by corruption accusations against a former aide and seems to have lost the support of his prime minister Silvio Berlusconi. The fear is that if Mr Tremonti is forced out of government it could derail the austerity measures he has pushed through to bring down Italy's huge debt, which amounts to around 120pc of its GDP. That would leave Italy in greater danger of being sucked into the turmoil which overtook Greece and Portugal, as doubts about their finances saw them shut out of the international debt markets.
This week markets will be focusing on this morning's emergency ECB meeting over how to stop contaign spreading to Italy and US second quarter corporate earnings.
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